R2I Club Member Hangout

nodegree wrote: ↑Sat Sep 14, 2024 9:06 pm

SAPPORO wrote: ↑Sat Sep 14, 2024 4:31 pm Kamala might lose PA, but she should more than make up for it with southern states like a couple of GA, NC, AZ, NV and FL. There are 300K non-cat eating voters of Haitian origin along with the six-week abortion ban in FL should deliver the KO punch. The polls are skewed since they don't take into account the participation levels of specific demographics (Youth/Women/AA), they look at only their typical representation levels much like the underestimating of Trump's rural support in 2016.
Lastly, KH should win because she would not agree at all with any of the above and is taking nothing for granted.

Will FL swing again? I highly doubt it. The polling spread was really wide in 2020. PA will be very tight and it all comes down to voter turnout in Philly.

nodegree wrote: ↑Fri Sep 20, 2024 12:38 am It's still very early but I think Trump fever is slowly breaking (like Pete Buttigieg framed it). KH should have worked out something with the Teamsters to get their endorsement but oh well.

It's all down to turn out now. Dog whistles vs Abortion!

SAPPORO wrote: ↑Fri Sep 20, 2024 10:40 am

nodegree wrote: ↑Fri Sep 20, 2024 12:38 am It's still very early but I think Trump fever is slowly breaking (like Pete Buttigieg framed it). KH should have worked out something with the Teamsters to get their endorsement but oh well.

It's all down to turn out now. Dog whistles vs Abortion!

The teamsters union polling reeks a lot of racism and sexism with little bit of fear of the unknown, considering that they had overwhelmingly voted in favor of Biden just a few months back. The saving grace is local chapters of the union like Western PA, MIchigan and the west coast have endorsed Kamala.

nodegree wrote: ↑Fri Sep 20, 2024 9:54 pm

SAPPORO wrote: ↑Fri Sep 20, 2024 10:40 am

nodegree wrote: ↑Fri Sep 20, 2024 12:38 am It's still very early but I think Trump fever is slowly breaking (like Pete Buttigieg framed it). KH should have worked out something with the Teamsters to get their endorsement but oh well.

It's all down to turn out now. Dog whistles vs Abortion!

The teamsters union polling reeks a lot of racism and sexism with little bit of fear of the unknown, considering that they had overwhelmingly voted in favor of Biden just a few months back. The saving grace is local chapters of the union like Western PA, MIchigan and the west coast have endorsed Kamala.

Quite strange that they were overwhelmingly backing Biden, then wanted to back Trump and now wanting to do nothing with Harris. Could be racist/sexist but there's also the fact that Harris is less union-friendly than Biden (but a lot more pro-union than Trump).

SAPPORO wrote: ↑Sun Sep 22, 2024 10:34 am Biden bailed their pension funds out and Harris in fact cast the tiebreak vote for that legislation to pass. They associate Harris with Biden all the time, I am wondering why not so for this.

nodegree wrote: ↑Sun Sep 22, 2024 10:53 am

SAPPORO wrote: ↑Sun Sep 22, 2024 10:34 am Biden bailed their pension funds out and Harris in fact cast the tiebreak vote for that legislation to pass. They associate Harris with Biden all the time, I am wondering why not so for this.

Teamsters endorsed Obama in '08 , '12 and then endorsed Clinton in '16. I don't think it can be explained by race/misogyny. It could just be due to the fact that Tony West (who is also brother-in-law to KH) is a Sr campaign adviser to Harris' campaign. He's an Uber Executive (also an Amazon counsel on legislative matters) is a notorious union buster with a track record of lobbying (and successfully helping pass legislation) against organized labor.

Interesting article from NYT about Tony West and his record
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/04/us/p ... -west.html